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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

SectionWeightObjectives
Topic 1: Probability Theory25%- Random variables and distributions
  • 1. Expected value, variance, covariance
    • 2. Discrete and continuous distributions
      - Basic probability concepts
      • 1. Conditional probability and independence
        • 2. Axioms and rules
          Topic 2: Statistics and Regression Analysis20%- Linear regression
          • 1. Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals
            • 2. Simple and multiple regression
              - Descriptive statistics
              • 1. Correlation and covariance
                • 2. Measures of location and dispersion
                  Topic 3: Numerical Methods & Financial Mathematics15%- Time value of money
                  - Root finding and approximation
                  - Basics of risk modeling
                  Topic 4: Calculus and Functions20%- Multivariable calculus
                  • 1. Partial derivatives
                    • 2. Optimization
                      - Single-variable calculus
                      • 1. Integrals and applications
                        • 2. Limits and continuity
                          • 3. Derivatives and applications
                            Topic 5: Linear Algebra and Matrix Theory20%- Matrix operations
                            • 1. Determinants and trace
                              • 2. Addition, multiplication, inversion
                                - Vectors and eigenvalues
                                • 1. Diagonalization
                                  • 2. Eigenvalues and eigenvectors

                                    PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

                                    Question 1

                                    At what point x does the function f(x) = x3 - 4x2 + 1 have a local minimum?

                                    A. -0.666666667
                                    B. 2.66667
                                    C. 2
                                    D. 0


                                    Question 2

                                    A linear regression gives the following output:
                                    Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates.
                                    What is the value of the test statistic for the hypothesis that the coefficient of is less than 1?

                                    A. 0.32
                                    B. 1.92
                                    C. 0.96
                                    D. 0.64


                                    Question 3

                                    What is the simplest form of this expression: log2(165/2)

                                    A. 5/2 + log2(16)
                                    B. 10
                                    C. log2 (5/2) + log2(16)
                                    D. 32


                                    Question 4

                                    What is the indefinite integral of the function f(x) = ln(x), where ln(x) denotes the natural logarithmic function?

                                    A. exp(x)
                                    B. ln(x) - x
                                    C. 1/x
                                    D. x ln(x) - x


                                    Question 5

                                    In a 2-step binomial tree, at each step the underlying price can move up by a factor of u = 1.1 or down by a factor of d = 1/u. The continuously compounded risk free interest rate over each time step is 1% and there are no dividends paid on the underlying. Use the Cox, Ross, Rubinstein parameterization to find the risk neutral probability and hence find the value of a European put option with strike 102, given that the underlying price is currently 100.

                                    A. 6.31
                                    B. 5.19
                                    C. 5.66
                                    D. 4.18


                                    Solutions:

                                    Question 1
                                    Answer: B
                                    Question 2
                                    Answer: D
                                    Question 3
                                    Answer: B
                                    Question 4
                                    Answer: D
                                    Question 5
                                    Answer: A

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